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For those with a bettor's mind, the 2014 Big Ten Tournament presents some enticing opportunities. Bovada has released its latest odds for the conference tournament, pegging Michigan State as the favorites just above Wisconsin and Michigan.
The Spartans finished third in the conference due in large part to injuries, but Bovada pegs them at 5/2 to win this weekend's tournament. The Badgers and Wolverines are then both listed at 3/1.
| TEAM | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Michigan State | 5/2 |
| Wisconsin | 3/1 |
| Michigan | 3/1 |
| Iowa | 9/2 |
| Ohio State | 5/1 |
| Nebraska | 16/1 |
| Indiana | 20/1 |
| Minnesota | 33/1 |
| Illinois | 50/1 |
| Purdue | 200/1 |
| Penn State | 200/1 |
| Northwestern | 500/1 |
While the baselines are certainly different, B5Q's Bart Torvik ran simulations on Monday to determine win probabilities based on KenPom rankings. His top three teams were unsurprisingly the same, albeit in a different area. Bovada also appears less bullish on Nebraska, somewhat surprising due to the Huskers' strong regular-season finish.
| SEED | TEAM | QUARTERS | SEMIS | FINALS | CHAMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | 100% | 76% | 47% | 27% |
| 2 | Wisconsin | 100% | 74% | 41% | 23% |
| 3 | Michigan State | 100% | 56% | 29% | 15% |
| 4 | Nebraska | 100% | 39% | 14% | 5% |
| 5 | Ohio State | 83% | 56% | 29% | 15% |
| 6 | Iowa | 86% | 42% | 21% | 10% |
| 7 | Minnesota | 58% | 17% | 6% | 2% |
| 8 | Indiana | 50% | 12% | 4% | 1% |
| 9 | Illinois | 50% | 12% | 4% | 1% |
| 10 | Penn State | 42% | 9% | 3% | 1.% |
| 11 | Northwestern | 14% | 2% | 0.3% | 0.04% |
| 12 | Purdue | 17% | 5% | 1% | 0.1% |
For those interested, Bovada also has odds for the other conference tournaments:
Virginia
2/1 Duke
2/1 Syracuse 3/1
North Carolina 7/1
Pittsburgh 12/1
Clemson 40/1
Florida State 40/1
Maryland 40/1
NC State 50/1
Miami FL 66/1
Notre Dame 100/1
Georgia Tech 250/1
Wake Forest 500/1
Boston College 500/1
Virginia Tech 500/1
Arizona
2/3 UCLA
4/1 Oregon 7/1
Arizona State 9/1
Stanford 12/1
Colorado 14/1
California
16/1 Utah
16/1 Washington 100/1
Oregon State 150/1
Washington State 500/1
USC
500/1
Mountain West Tournament
San Diego State 3/2
New Mexico 3/2
UNLV
7/2 Boise State 9/1
Fresno State 33/1
Utah State 33/1
Wyoming 40/1
Nevada 40/1
Colorado State 66/1
Air Force 500/1
San Jose State 1000/1
American Conference Tournament
Louisville
2/3 Cincinnati
13/4 Memphis 5/1
SMU
6/1 Connecticut 10/1
Houston 100/1
Rutgers
500/1 Temple 500/1
USF
1000/1 UCF
1000/1
VCU
3/2 Saint Louis 3/1
George Washington 11/2
Saint Joe's 7/1
Dayton 15/2
UMass 8/1
Richmond 25/1
St. Bonaventure 25/1
La Salle 33/1
Duquesne 100/1
Rhode Island 100/1
George Mason 100/1
Fordham 1000/1
Kansas 3/2
Iowa State 5/1
Oklahoma 5/1
Oklahoma State 5/1
Baylor
7/1 Texas
9/1 Kansas State 16/1
West Virginia 16/1
Texas Tech 250/1
TCU
1000/1
Villanova
3/2 Creighton 7/4
St. John's 6/1
Xavier
9/1 Marquette 12/1
Georgetown 12/1
Providence 15/1
Butler
66/1 Seton Hall 100/1
DePaul 500/1
Florida
2/3 Kentucky 3/1
Tennessee 4/1
Georgia 16/1
Arkansas 16/1
Missouri
25/1 LSU
25/1 Ole Miss 33/1
Alabama 50/1
Vanderbilt 100/1
Texas A&M 250/1
Auburn
500/1 South Carolina 500/1
Mississippi State 500/1