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Way-Too-Early Position Preview: Quarterbacks

I think it's pretty fair to say that Russell Wilson had a good run as Wisconsin's starting quarterback. His stat line says it all: a 72.8 completion percentage, 10.28 yards per attempt, 33 touchdowns and just four interceptions. Wilson gave the Badgers everything they needed out of the quarterback position, plus a little more. But as much as the Badgers might wish Wilson could return for an encore, he's exhausted his eligibility and is on to potentially greener pastures in the NFL.

So what do the Badgers do for 2012? They caught lightning in a bottle with Wilson, but they now have impossibly big shoes to fill. Today we'll take an entirely-too-early look at the candidates to replace Wilson for next season. The quarterback situation is sure to change over the next few months, as we find out who's hurt and for how long, but for right now we'll look at the potential candidates and where they stand.

Star-divide

Jon Budmayr

RS Junior - 6-0, 195 lbs.

Career stats: 3 GP, 8/10, 134 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT

As you'll see going down the list, the Badgers' quarterbacks are lacking experience in a big way. Combined, they have just a 55.2 completion percentage, 247 yards, and a 1/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. But among them, Budmayr has the best track record. He played mostly in mop-up duty for Scott Tolzien during the 2010 season, but sat out all of last year with a nerve issue in his throwing elbow. Had he been healthy, we would have been the starting quarterback in 2011 if Wilson hadn't transferred to Wisconsin. Now, thanks to that nerve issue, he and the Badgers are in essentially the same spot they were at last year.

The real question with Budmayr is if he'll be healthy enough to play next season. There were reports of a setback in December, but the Badgers got some good news about Budmayr in January: he was reportedly 90 percent healthy following what Bret Bielema called a "miraculous" recovery, and might be able to work with the team in some capacity during spring drills.

Getting Budmayr back to full strength would be a big boost for the Badgers, but it's important to remember that another setback in his throwing arm could develop just as quickly as any miracle recovery did. But if he's healthy, my money would be on Budmayr standing under center in 2012.

Curt Phillips

RS Senior - 6-3, 225 lbs.

Career stats: 5 GP, 7/13, 65 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT

Phillips has had one of the worst streaks of bad luck you can have as a college athlete, and especially as a highly touted college recruit. As a four-star recruit out of Tennessee, Phillips provides a cautionary tale about assuming top recruits will have long and productive careers. Phillips arrived on campus in 2008 for a redshirt year, and then served as Tolzien's backup in 2009 after he bested Phillips for the starting job in fall camp. Then it all went wrong for the dual-threat quarterback from Tennessee.

In all, Phillips has torn his right ACL twice, and has suffered several setbacks during his attempts to return to the field. It's been hard to get a feel for how his recovery from the latest setback is going, but Bielema told the media in January that Phillips is making progress. The best-case scenario would be if Phillips partakes in some part of spring camp, and be ready for full competition by fall camp in August. But even if he is ready to return, how effective he can be will be a big question.

Phillips was touted more for his mobility than his arm, so we'll soon see how much of a toll Phillips' injuries have taken on the quarterback. A healthy Phillips would be an interesting follow-up to Wilson, as we've seen that a mobile quarterback can be beneficial for the Badgers' offense. He might not be as accurate as the now-departed quarterback, but a best-case scenario would be Phillips as a Russell Wilson-lite.

Joseph Brennan

RS Sophomore - 6-3, 205 lbs.

Career stats: 6 GP, 6/15, 48 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT

Joe Brennan came uncomfortably close to being the starting quarterback for a lot of Badger fans in 2011. If Wilson had chosen to attend Auburn and Budmayr still develops that nerve injury, the Badgers would have had to roll with Brennan, who was just a redshirt freshman at the time. If that had been the case, the Badgers probably don't go to their second-straight Rose Bowl. Instead, Brennan spent the year as Wilson's backup, coming in late to wrap up big leads for the Badgers.

His performance wasn't stellar by any means, but Brennan will be entering just his third year in the program. The experience he gained in 2011 could prove valuable, as Brennan could well find himself as the starting quarterback if Budmayr and Phillips are both unavailable in the fall.

Joel Stave

RS Freshman - 6-5, 220 lbs.

Career stats: Has not played.

Joel Stave (pronounced "STAH-vee") is a walk-on from Greenfield, Wis., who used the 2011 season as a redshirt year. Stave enrolled early after graduating from high school, and will be playing in his second spring camp. He caught people off guard last April by having the best day of any quarterback in the spring game, but it's important to remember that the offense scored zero points in the scrimmage. So it wasn't exactly difficult to shine in comparison.

There have been whispers that if Budmayr and Phillips aren't available in fall camp, it wouldn't be surprising if Stave beats out Brennan for the starting job. We'll get a much better barometer for Stave's growth after spring practices. But for now, he's a young quarterback with plenty of time to develop.

Bart Houston

Freshman - 6-4, 215 lbs.

Career stats: Has not played.

Bart Houston comes out of De La Salle High School in California as one of the Badgers' most hyped recruits in recent memory. Houston impressed at the Elite 11 combine over the summer, and never wavered in his commitment to the Badgers, even after Paul Chryst left for Pittsburgh. Houston did not enroll early, and will be on campus starting in August.

It's probably unfair to put so much hype and high expectations on a guy who hasn't graduated high school yet, but he's going to come to campus with fans expecting big things in the future. In all likelihood Houston will redshirt the 2012 season, but Bielema said he's never going to rule someone out of a starting job right away. For all we know, Houston might come in and blow away the competition in fall camp, but I certainly wouldn't count on it.

Poll
Who will be Wisconsin's starting quarterback in 2012?
Jon Budmayr
98 votes
Curt Phillips
54 votes
Joe Brennan
54 votes
Joel Stave
204 votes
Bart Houston
140 votes

550 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 8 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I think the percentages just about sum up how uncertain everything is for next year.

Mark 8:36

by lonebadger on Feb 7, 2012 10:46 PM CST reply actions  

Phillips

Would love to see Curt win the job. The dynamic he could bring to the offense would be huge. At the very least, he provides an upside the others don’t have: I’ve seen Brennan play enough for my taste and Budmayr reminds me of a Dustin Sherer type (stopgap player with little upside). Houston unfortunately will almost certainly not be ready and it would be tough to count on him with expectations still high (we should win our division).

Big Easy Badger

by jfielkow on Feb 7, 2012 11:19 PM CST reply actions  

Phillips is the only one of these guys who doesn't scare me

And even that is pretty much on faith since it’s been a long time since we’ve seen him on the field. I agree Budmayr or Brennan won’t be the answer. They’ve both had opportunities and haven’t done much with them. If Phillips can’t go, I’d say it’s down to Stave and Houston. If you’re going to play a subpar QB, at least make it someone who is young and has upside.

by BadgerInDC on Feb 8, 2012 8:08 AM CST up reply actions  

think Bielemonster is going to go with "upside"??

No way. His whole staff turned over. He’s is determined to make astatement next season and that statement is not “Yeah, we lost a bunch of games, but our young kids got some great experience for next year.”

He’s running the ball and picking the guy who knows the offense the best and doesn’t turn it over. Tolzien pt. 2 (if we’re lucky).

Follow me on Twitter @hoopsmarinara for Wisconsin hoops news, insight and recruiting.

by Phil Mitten on Feb 8, 2012 11:46 AM CST up reply actions  

If there's a Tolzien in this bunch

By all means Beliema should play him. But I see a lot more Evridge and Sherer in Budmayr and Brennan than I do Tolzien. If you’re going to lose 5-6 games anyway, at least do it with a guy who can help you win 10+ the following year.

by BadgerInDC on Feb 8, 2012 11:58 AM CST up reply actions  

Sweet baby Jesus

Look at next year’s schedule. If we lose 5-6 games, we might have bigger problems than who’s behind center. Someone will emerge after Spring Ball, I’m certain, but who it is remains to be seen. I agree with Phil that as long as we have that Tolzein possession-type guy who completes typical passes and doesn’t turn it over, we’ll be fine.

by badgerlaxer on Feb 8, 2012 1:30 PM CST up reply actions  

Not sure why you guys are assuming

That a Tolzien will just emerge from the crowd. Tolzien was the most efficient QB in UW history (until Russell Wilson dropped by). Those don’t just fall off of trees. Well, Tolzien did sort of come out of nowhere, but the point is you can’t assume that an epically-efficient QB will just appear every time you need one. Sometimes when it looks like you’ve got nobody at QB, you really have nobody at QB. Recall that last year nobody stepped up in the spring. The QBs all looked terrible. And aside from Wilson, nobody stepped up in the fall camp. Even before he got hurt, Budmayr was a non-factor. Had Wilson not come to the rescue, we would not have had a guy who “completes typical passes and doesn’t turn it over.”

by BadgerInDC on Feb 8, 2012 2:17 PM CST up reply actions  

I didn't mean to imply there was a Tolzien on this roster

Thus the “(if we’re lucky)” caveat …

With that said, when Tolzien won the job, the perception was that he was the lesser of evils, steady and risk-free. In retrospect, if you can’t see that Tolzien matured into a great QB in his own right, I don’t know what to tell you … DC and I are in agreement here.

All I’m saying is that I highly doubt that BB is in the mindset of conceding victories in favor of QB development. My guess is he aims for Tolzien with Budmayr and if that turns into Evridge, he adjusts mid-season. I wouldn’t put any eggs in the Phillips basket.

Follow me on Twitter @hoopsmarinara for Wisconsin hoops news, insight and recruiting.

by Phil Mitten on Feb 8, 2012 2:29 PM CST up reply actions  

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