Junior vs. Senior: Comparing Jordan Taylor's efficiency
by Phil Mitten on Dec 10, 2011 8:00 AM CST
in Wisconsin Badgers Basketball
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PrintRecently Ken Pomeroy published his 2011-12 individual player efficiency calculations for the first time this season. His computer has traditionally loved Wisconsin and this year is no different. Despite some discouraging losses, kenpom.com still has the Badgers (7-2) rated No. 3 in the country and projects them to finish 26-5 overall.
Disagree with Pomeroy's metrics all you want, but there is no doubt the player efficiency stats are some of the most interesting tools college hoops fans can use as debate artillery. The fact that Pomeroy moved his site behind a paywall this season, in part because of all the coaches using his statistics, means the value is not debatable either (ie: if you say the ratings are wack, you're wrong).
With that said, I ponied up the modest fee to continue my unfettered access to these numbers again this season. In particular, I eagerly awaited the release of the individual stats to compare how the Jordan Taylor I saw struggling with my own eyes compared objectively to the JT who dominated Division I ball from an efficiency standpoint a year ago.
The numbers weren't all that surprising, but worth a look nontheless. Part of the difference can probably be attributed to Taylor's right ankle not being back to 100% after offseason surgery.
First the raw numbers, then a brief synopsis.
| Season | %Min | Off. Rtg | %Poss | %Shots | eFG% | TS% | OR% | DR% | Asst Rate | TO Rate | Blk% | Stl% | FC/40 | FD/40 | FT Rate | FT% | FG% | 3PT% |
| 2010-11 (Jr) | 90.6 | 126.9 | 27.4 | 27.4 | 51.7 | 57.6 | 3.3 | 11.8 | 30.4 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 5.3 | 41.3 | 83.2 | 43.6 | 42.9 |
| 2011-12 (Sr) | 83.6 | 114.9 | 24.9 | 23.6 | 46.0 | 48.8 | 4.4 | 12.0 | 32.9 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 28.7 | 65.5 | 42.2 | 35.1 |
| Green indicates Top 25 rating in Division I | Stats explained | |||||||||||||||||
Taylor's efficiency numbers are down across the board, but not universally. His total offensive efficiency (114.9) is lower than last year's outstanding 126.9. His efficiency was so amazing as a junior because of he maintained it while using 27.4% of the available possessions when he was on the court.
So far this season, Taylor is playing a smaller share of the team minutes as well as taking a smaller percentage of the team's shots and possessions. Another interesting tidbit is the dip in fouls drawn and free throw rate. Taylor is drawing one whole foul less per game than a year ago and his rate of free throws attempted per field goal attempt has dropped to nearer the level of his freshman season. Now a fourth of the way through the season, Taylor has shot only 29 free throws while hoisting 37 3-point attempts. I would expect the free throw stats to rise once conference play arrives and Taylor must initiate more of the offense personally.
Most folks are well aware that Taylor's shooting has not been up to snuff yet, so I won't bore you with those details.
The senior has improved in a few areas though. Taylor is registering a full percentage point higher in offensive rebounding percentage. With the benefit of Wenesday's sterling 10 assist, no turnover performance against UW-Green Bay in the computers, Taylor's assist rate is also higher than last season. With 368 career assists heading into Saturday's tilt with UNLV (9-1), Taylor will likely pass Michael Finley (371) for third place on Wisconsin's all-time assists ledger.
The good news for Wisconsin is that most of the other key returnees have stepped up. Replacing Jon Leuer, Keaton Nankivil and Tim Jarmusz is a group task that has proved hard to master, but it appears that Taylor is feeling the brunt of the pressure.
- Ryan Evans has taken a gigantic leap from last year in offensive efficiency (82.4 -> 110.8) and his defensive "money" stats (blocks and steals) are up in the non-conference.
- Jared Berggren ranks 59th in the nation (!) in Stl%. Pretty rad for a big man. Most of Berggren's rates -- including offensive efficiency and usage rate -- have improved significantly now that he's gotten steady playing time.
- Even Mike Bruesewitz, much maligned in the early season, has quietly improved in some key efficiency metrics. Because he's been in early foul trouble, it's easy to miss that Bruiser has rebounded better, gotten to the line more often and cut down on turnovers while keeping his total offensive efficiency about even with last year.
- Josh Gasser has regressed ever-so slightly as a sophomore, but his game is the kind that the Pomeroy computers really love. His shooting is obviously much improved, which covers up for slight dips in assist and rebounding rate and a slight rise in turnover rate.
Both Wisconsin (Taylor) and UNLV (Chace Stanback) return their leading scorers for the Runnin' Rebels 68-65 upset of the Badgers last season. In fact, the Rebels return eight of the nine players who logged minutes in that game. If you recall, Vegas was en fuego from 3-point land in that game.
You might think UNLV's confidence would be high after downing then-No. 1 North Carolina prior to the Big Ten/ACC Challenge, but since then reality has smacked the Rebels in the face. Their first two road games caused headaches in the form of a double-overtime win at UC-Santa Barbara and a blowout loss at Wichita State.
The Kohl Center should be even less inviting. I'm hoping fans bring their A-game and make this Badger game a little louder than it was against the Green Bay this past week. It should be a much better game -- one perhaps most predictive of what kind of team UW will be during league play.
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This offensive play makes me cringe.
By both teams.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:20 PM CST reply actions
The last game and half, looks like they are learning to live withou the three
But man would it be nice to not be so cold from downtown….And Brust with the three
Brust and Stanback trade threes.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:29 PM CST reply actions
Brust to the free throw line?
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:29 PM CST reply actions
Hits the first.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:29 PM CST up reply actions
Berggren called for the foul...
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:30 PM CST reply actions
despite getting an elbow to the head.
Nice work, refs.
Fortunately, UNLV’s center makes only one of the free throws.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:31 PM CST up reply actions
WTF?!
Brust gets called for the reach-in? That’s a bad call.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:31 PM CST reply actions
Another foul on Berggren.
That’s kind of silly.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:32 PM CST reply actions
BTN scoreboard guy has to be drunk
A couple times I’m staring at the score thinking, “That cant be right.”
This full court pressure is king of irritating.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:33 PM CST reply actions
Bruesewitz with the offensive board and shot!
20-15.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:33 PM CST reply actions
And there's Kaminsky for THREEEEEEE
23-15 Wisconsin lead with 7:54 remaining in the 1st half.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:34 PM CST reply actions
UNLV is going cold.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:35 PM CST reply actions
Wow, what a terrible call
HOw many body parts does it need to go off of?
It could have gone off of his head
and they’d have given UNLV the ball.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:37 PM CST up reply actions
LOLWUT!?
Another awful call by the refs. That ball goes off of Marshall’s knee AND shoulder and the refs call it out of bounds…on Wisconsin. Clean play by Taylor; NOTHING but ball.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:36 PM CST reply actions
I'm probably the only one who thinks this
but I think basketball should add a 4th ref.
I think they need to have more calls subject to review
seriously, what a terrible call. That’s the kind of thing that basketball officials have proven inept at making time and time again.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:39 PM CST up reply actions
And one for Ryan Evans!
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:39 PM CST reply actions
At this rate, UNLV should be in the bonus with 5 minutes remaining in the 1st.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:39 PM CST reply actions
Which is pretty typical, actually.
I watched a Nebraska game earlier this year where their opponent hit the bonus with 14:05 left. That was absurd.
by Cheeseandcorn on Dec 10, 2011 1:41 PM CST up reply actions
Gasser can't finish with the layup,
But Wisconsin turns over UNLV on the other end and Bruesewitz drives for the lay-in!
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:40 PM CST reply actions
10-0 run for Wisconsin, and the Badgers lead 28-15.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:41 PM CST reply actions
UNLV continues to turn the ball over
and Gasser makes them pay! 31-15 Wisconsin after a beautiful three from the top of the arc.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:41 PM CST reply actions
Holy crap, Gasser is shooting 61% from beyond the arc!?
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:42 PM CST reply actions
Well he did start the season like 80 some odd percent
Hes cooled down
Spreading the wealth today, though
Since that sloppy start, they’ve cleaned things up.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:43 PM CST up reply actions
Finally, Massamba called for a foul inside, away from the play.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:43 PM CST reply actions
Jordan Taylor throws the ball towards the hoop, only to receive a loud CLANK in return...
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:43 PM CST reply actions
Another turnover by UNLV.
I’ll take that, thank you very much!
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:44 PM CST reply actions
UNLV punished for their full-court pressure
and the Badgers are in the bonus.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:48 PM CST reply actions
Taylor with his first point of the game.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:48 PM CST reply actions
2 points for Taylor.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:48 PM CST up reply actions
BRUST with a three!
Taylor with the assist, I think…
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:49 PM CST reply actions
Bad shot attempt by Taylor
Looked like Trevon Hughes forcing that shot
Ugh, you're right.
That was…hideous.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:50 PM CST up reply actions
UNLV misses a transition opportunity aftera wild miss by Taylor.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:50 PM CST reply actions
Taylor hits the floor, but gets it away
and Gasser to the free throw line…where he misses the front end of the one and one.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:50 PM CST reply actions
Oh come on, FINISH THE HALF.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:51 PM CST reply actions
Don't let these guys back into the game now.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:51 PM CST reply actions
24.8 to go.
Do not get sloppy, Badgers!
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:52 PM CST reply actions
36-23 at the half in favor of Wisconsin.
UNLV has been held to their fewest points in a half thus far.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
Whatever holds the image of an angel IS an angel. The eyes are not the windows of the soul, they are the doors.
Yes, I am on twitter.
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 10, 2011 1:54 PM CST reply actions
STFU Gus
Goin on and on about how terrible of a call the Running into the punter call was. He made contact Gus, GET OVER IT
Bruiser misses a wide open three
But Gasser gets a steal and quick TO on the UNLV drive
almost a TO by evans..
but gets back and gets the bucket…thats a nice shot for him there at the free throw line.
I thought Taylor discovered something at the end of last game
But nope, hes been awful shooting
I like three pointers!
That dog just won't hunt.
by Bush League All Star on Dec 10, 2011 2:37 PM CST reply actions
Indeed.
Defense is doing a good job defending the three.
That dog just won't hunt.
by Bush League All Star on Dec 10, 2011 2:38 PM CST up reply actions
Brust!!!
That dog just won't hunt.
by Bush League All Star on Dec 10, 2011 2:40 PM CST reply actions
Taylor hurt his leg when he fell down trying to get back on defense
He’s running with a slight limp
You just knew Taylor was going to take as much time off and then jack up the three
And then offensive rebound and BRUST
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