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Are Badgers Underdogs Against Michigan State?

Aaron Henry admires the Leaders Division trophy after beating Penn State 45-7, but more important hardware will be on the line next Saturday against Michigan State.

MADISON, Wis. -- As a college football fan, you'd better get used to rematches. After winning the Leaders Division Saturday night against Penn State, the Badgers will take to Indianapolis for a second round with the Michigan State Spartans. The Badgers, who lost 37-31 in heartbreaking fashion in East Lansing earlier this year, have been given a chance at redemption for the first time in Big Ten history. 

Oddsmakers in Las Vegas have the Badgers as ten-point favorites over the Spartans, which seems a little high for two teams that have already played, with the projected 'underdog' actually winning the first contest. But as we know, Vegas sets the line to increase the number of bets. However, the Badgers have done will when favored by double digits recently. Will a neutral field be worth that much to the Badgers on Saturday? Only time will tell. 

Star-divide

Game Impressions

-- Obviously switching Travis Frederick to center, rather than Ryan Groy, is paying dividends for the Badgers offensive line and the running game. Should Peter Konz leave for the NFL after this season, I would imagine Frederick will stay at center in his place. I'm sure Bob Bostad and the rest of the line would prefer to have Konz back, but Frederick is proving to be a more than capable replacement. 

-- The Wisconsin offensive line dominated on the line, and largely mollified Penn State's impact players on the defensive line. It was a good sign for a line that's been hit by injuries recently, with Konz's injury, the switch between Groy and Frederick, and Wagner's mild injury against Illinois. The line will need to play well again against Michigan State if they want to avenge that earlier loss. 

-- Penn State knew they would have to play a near-perfect game on offense to have a chance on Saturday, which is why Shelton Johnson's interception of Matt McGloin was so crucial. Johnson read McGloin all the way, brought down that ball, and essentially turned the game permanently in favor of the Badgers. 

Badgers Steady in Polls

The Badgers didn't move up in either the AP or Coaches Polls after beating the Nittany Lions on Saturday, staying at No. 15 and No. 12, respectively. This had more to do with a lack of higher-ranked teams losing in front of them, but the AP ranking still seems a little low. Of the ranked 10-win BCS conference teams, only Michigan is lower than the Badgers, checking in at No. 17. Wisconsin also moved up one spot to No. 15 in the BCS standings, and is now ranked by all of the BCS computer rankings. 

Injury Update

X-rays came back negative on Ethan Armstrong's hip, who had to be taken away from the game in an ambulance early in the game. No update on whether or not he'll be able to play against Michigan State, but I would assume he's out until otherwise noted. 

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The computers are ridiculous.

3 computers have Nebraska ranked higher than us.

"The riches of the game are in the thrills, not the money." --Ernie Banks

by dtpollitt on Nov 27, 2011 9:16 PM CST reply actions   1 recs

Michigan st. Should attack the UW secondary as much as possible. Pump fakes and double moves. Penn st. Missed this opportunity by running way too much in a misguided quest for balance.

by Bassett Neighborhood on Nov 27, 2011 9:55 PM CST reply actions  

Penn State's passing attack was, at best, wildly inaccurate.

McGloin took advantage of Marcus Cromartie forgetting his coverage assignment (another indication that Cromartie was probably on the bench for a reason, sadly), but then proceeded to play just awfully for the rest of the game.

Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
#FireCraigJames

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Nov 28, 2011 8:57 AM CST up reply actions  

Favorites, yes

We are two last second passes away from being undefeated. MSU is a very, very good team. We barely lost to them on the road, in a game in which they were seeking respect and revenge for not getting to the Rose Bowl last year.

Three things make us favorites: First, I believe we’re the better overall team, but I’m biased. Second, the neutral field. That absolutely helps. Third, it’s hard to beat a team twice in a season and maintain the momentum from the previous game, especially with the way the first game ended.

Ten points is a lot, but I think we’ll cover it.

by cdmflorida on Nov 28, 2011 8:35 AM CST reply actions   1 recs

"We are two last second passes away from being undefeated. "

Spartan Fan here. The game was tied and would have gone into overtime…not a win for the Badgers. You can talk momentum into the OT if you want but Cousins had the better game statistically anyway.

That being said, I do believe Wisconsin has the better offense and MSU the better defense so can you say special teams??? Seems to be a push, UW better FG kicker, MSU better punter. Returners are about the same (I think MSU has the edge but I am biased) Will be a great game and look for a few trick plays from Dantonio.

by MrSpartan.com on Nov 28, 2011 12:10 PM CST up reply actions  

One thing that this weekend did do

is that it actually moved us up to THIRD nationally in passing defense, higher than every team in the Big Ten, including that otherworldly Michigan State defense (sarcasm, they gave up 31 points on defense alone).

Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
#FireCraigJames

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by sadfghrtrt on Nov 29, 2011 9:11 PM CST reply actions  

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